Ah well I noticed in the equations you gave, probability plays out on soak factors and reduction factors too, whereas ones posted on the Native forums do not. It could just be that the probability factor has been permuted around and interpreted differently, which is likely to be the case. So they are the same, but when you were talking to me you seemed like the equation set you had was different to mine, probably because the ones I found weren't entirely complete. I took the ones I had as the ones hard-coded, I guess they weren't sorry for the confusion.
So more on topic, are there planned changes to buff the longbow?
And sorry for not recognising you, didn't know there was a display for IRC nickname, have only just started using it for crpg.