I thought writing 'Is it time for round three already?' as presenting a scenario where that could happen.
Yes, I've always found the pre-war optimism a lesson to take to mind, which is why I didn't just wave off the possibility entirely. My point was and still is that it's far less likely today than then, for a number of reasons.
I guess it's understandable if you read what was posted after me before replying yourself and given the eurocentric context of the thread. Still, world war as a term doesn't mean that it has to begin and end in Europe.
Though I do agree that an external military threat is more likely for Europe than an internal one.
Should that happen though, would we be better off dealing with it individually or as a combined front?
A fractured Europe would not be in a good position to diplomatically defuse external threats before they are actualized either. And with Trump just winning five states and entertaining notions of America letting go of NATO influence.. the world stage could quickly evolve into one far less stable than the current one.
Of course not, I wrote 'some degree'. There's been a good deal of science done in these areas in psychology and sociology, that too much diversity (especially of the non-benign type such as with a greater degree of cultural clashes or fundamentalist religion in a secular society) brings a decline in social capital. Look at social development at large among western nations, the generally happiest, safest, least corrupt places are the smaller, homogenous nation states. That doesn't mean there isn't any new ideas from the outside or no foreigners, there is no reason to think any of us here deal in absolutist terms.
Those are some interesting studies, though I must cast some doubt on how well they argue for your current points. How bad is a drop in social capital? How good is the proposed fix? Or is this like saying that because it causes a voltage drop in the battery, do not ever start your car.
There's also other research. And more.I've also read that a degree of diversity in a population causes some mistrust, but that mistrust results in more critical thinking as people don't take every silly idea at face value anymore, eventually leading to better choices from the individual to institutions and upwards. An upwards spiral of intelligence.
That effect of course is lost, just like any social capital, if the population is too busy beheading believers in the wrong thing or other sectarian strife. That kind of diversity would be very non-benign.
Maybe we should all form small, homogeneous nations then. Except then someone marries a non-homogeneous person. Are they ruining Small Homogeneous State? Is homogeneity and social capital worth more than a personal freedom to form a non-homogeneous family with someone you love? Would it be a double betrayal to start adhering to the significant other's culture and/or religion?
How would the ideal state actually work?
Also the newly formed Big Non-Homogeneous State would really like all of your oil.
It's not quite scientific to allude that their happiness is the result of their smallness and homogeneity, if the examples are places with quite happy circumstances like the economically blessed Switzerland. If you have good research about it though, I'd like to see them too.
I've never said they did. What I'm referring to is a social contract which is included in some form in most western constitutions. To surrender some freedoms in exchange for protection of some rights.
The social contract is not something the state is law-bound to, in any meaning of the word. A constitution is a concrete list of restrictions on state power. And some things the state must do.
If the social contract is breached, we return to the war of all against all. The state of nature. At least according to Hobbles.
The social contract gives rise to the state, the sovereign and its laws.
Populism isn't all demagoguery, often it is also the will of the people being heard and can lead to positive changes. I don't see how it is shortsighted if it actually leads to laws being passed dealing with some of the issues clearly at people's minds.
The people always know best? Everyone wants a million, so print it out already. The real consequences for households as hyperinflation takes place are not worth losing sleep over.
Voting populists into power over single issues even if they are clearly at people's minds means you ignore a lot of the other stuff.
Non-integrating immigrants, ghettofication, areas like Molenbeek and the related social trouble I recognize as problems. It'd be folly to think they are the only ones in the world however.