What industry? Most people are just talking about their feelings on the matter, without actual research. There are precious few AGI specialists.
I'm talking about the artificial intelligence field, as opposed to those who focus AGI exclusively. People who work in developing things like personal assistants, robotics, artificial neural networks, etc. This is akin to what a biologist is to your general practitioner of medicine. Sure, biologists might not know how to treat syphilis, but they could tell you that the disease is caused by a bacterial infection as opposed to a consequence of annoying a god. Those that do think it's near impossible simply think it's impossible within the next couple hundred years- not that it won't happen in, say, a couple thousand years, unlike FTL travel which has more theoretical issues.
However, I don't
really care. Existential risks are for other people. I'm too busy to trying to figure out where I'm going to get the money for a second car so I don't have to ride a bicycle in 101 degree weather, what I'm going to eat next year, if I have enough mileage points to visit aging family on the other side of the world, and
most importantly, how to dodge archers in cRPG. If it happens in my lifetime an AI is friendly, great. If it it happens and it's not, oh well, what was I going to do about it? If it happens after my lifetime...back to the beginning. Why would I care about climate change when I'm going to die in forty years?
Dooz: if you don't question things, it's easy to come to easy, simple to understand conclusions that probably aren't right.
Moore's law is not a
natural law. It is an observed trend limited to a rather short period in time. Hey, at least you aren't preaching about an
anthropomorphic deity drinking milk, right?